Giornate di Studio sulla Popolazione (Popdays), Giornate di Studio sulla Popolazione 2019

Font Size: 
Population ageing in Italy: an analysis of change in the ageing index across space and time
Cecilia Reynaud, Sara Miccoli, Francesco Lagona

##manager.scheduler.building##: Velodromo - Bocconi University
##manager.scheduler.room##: N02
Date: 2019-01-26 11:00 AM – 12:30 PM
Last modified: 2018-12-26

Abstract


Population ageing is one of the most important demographic phenomena of this century. Driven by fertility decline and the continuing extension of the life expectancy, the process of population ageing has not been uniform across time and space. Italy has one of the oldest populations in the world. The combination of a

very old population and large territorial differences has made Italy an interesting laboratory for studying population ageing. The first aim of this paper is to study how population ageing developed between 2002 and 2014 across different geographical areas within Italy. The second aim of this work is to analyze the relation between population ageing and economical characteristics of the various Italian territories.

We analyse patterns of population ageing across the five major socio-economic regions using the 110 provinces of Italy as our spatial units of analysis. We use a statistical model that integrates patterns of variation of population ageing data by accounting for autocorrelation in space and time and by testing correlation with economic covariates.


Keywords


auto correlation, space-time analysis, Italy, population ageing