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Human Longevity and its Records
Elisabetta Barbi

##manager.scheduler.building##: Velodromo - Bocconi University
##manager.scheduler.room##: N02
Date: 2019-01-26 11:00 AM – 12:30 PM
Last modified: 2018-12-26

Abstract


The big fundamental questions about the existence of a fixed biological limit to human lifespan, and whether this has been reached or is being approaching, remain unresolved. This work contributes to the debate on longevity limits by computing the probability that an individual reaches the Italian record of Emma Morano and the world record of Jeanne Calment, by exploiting the Italian dataset on semisupercentenarians (people who reach age 105) and by accounting for the mortality rates by cohort estimated from the same dataset. Findings suggest that Emma Morano’s record is likely to be reached (and perhaps exceeded) by other long-lived individuals in a not too far future, and that Jeanne Calment’s record too, although extraordinary, is indeed plausible.

Keywords


Human lifespan, biological limits, longevity records