Giornate di Studio sulla Popolazione (Popdays), Giornate di Studio sulla Popolazione 2017

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Internet and the Timing of Births
Francesco C Billari

Building: Main Venue Building
Room: room 8
Date: 2017-02-08 04:30 PM – 06:00 PM
Last modified: 2017-01-23

Abstract


Technological innovations directly related to fertility have been linked to the timing of births, i.e. with postponement in the case of contraceptive technology and with “recuperation” in the case of assisted reproductive technology. We argue that the diffusion of the Internet also plays a role as an “enabling” factor in fertility choices, with a particular effect on the timing of fertility. After discussing the potential pathways for this effect, we hypothesize that Internet access to contribute to the postponement of fertility during the earlier ages and stages of the life course, and to a recuperation in later ages and stages of the life course. We also hypothesize that these age- and stage-specific effects are stratified by gender and education. We conduct analyses using discrete-time multilevel event-history models on NLSY97. Our hypotheses are confirmed only for the earlier ages and stages of the life course, with some important stratification by gender and education. In further analyses, to be completed, we develop an instrument based on area-level internet discussion, to obtain causal estimates.


Keywords


fertility; digitalization; Internet; technology and the life course; digital divide